Antarctic sea ice likely reached 2026 maximum, third-lowest
The annual maximum extent was likely reached on 2026-09-14 and ranked third-lowest on record.
- Antarctic sea ice likely reached its annual maximum on Sept. 14, 2026, at 17.59 million sq km.
- The 2026 maximum is the third-lowest Antarctic sea ice maximum on record.
- After a 1% per decade increase from 1979 to 2014, Antarctic sea ice showed significant decreases and lower-than-normal coverage.
- Passive microwave satellites monitor sea ice in any weather because ice gives a stronger microwave signal than open water.
- NASA and JAXA satellites are part of the sea ice record, including NASA's Aqua and JAXA's GCOM-W.
What happened
Antarctic sea ice likely reached its annual maximum extent on 2026-09-14. The event is ranked as the third-lowest maximum on record.
What we know
The annual maximum extent was likely reached on 2026-09-14. The facts give the coverage as 17,590,000 square kilometers, or 6,790,000 square miles, and rank the maximum as third-lowest on record.
The seasonal reference months listed are September and February, and the maps cited cover 1990 to 2026.
From 1979 to 2014, total Antarctic sea ice had a 1 percent per decade increase, but the facts state uncertainty over whether that change was meaningful. The increase ended, significant decreases started, and coverage has largely remained lower than normal. Both a record low minimum and a record low maximum are listed for 2023, and the decline is under observation.
Measurements rely on passive microwave sensors, because sea ice produces a stronger microwave signal than open water. Satellites can monitor sea ice regardless of weather.
The sea ice record includes 1978 and Nimbus-7, along with Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites in 1987, NASA's Aqua satellite from 2002 to 2011, and JAXA's GCOM-W satellite in 2025.
NASA Earth Observatory images use National Snow and Ice Data Center data and list Michala Garrison. The World of Change item was announced 2026-10-06, and the National Snow and Ice Data Center announced on 2026-09-23 that the Antarctic maximum most likely had been reached.
Why it matters
For lunar-industry readers, NASA and JAXA appear in these sea ice facts through NASA Earth Observatory images, NASA's Aqua satellite and JAXA's GCOM-W satellite.
The facts also show satellite observations linked to 1978, using passive microwave sensors that can distinguish ice from open water and work regardless of weather.
What we are not sure about
- The annual maximum is described as likely reached, not confirmed.
- The 1979 to 2014 increase is described as uncertain whether meaningful change.
Sources
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